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Weather Prediction
Neg. Evidence
1) WEATHER PREDICTIONS ARE TOO HARD TO PREDICT
Roger Blench, Overseas Development Institute, 02
“…Weather is not necessarily so easily second-guessed. All types of weather prediction are probabilistic and fraught with technical uncertainty. ... ”
5) HUMAN FORECASTS ARE COSTLY AND EXPENSIVE
Roger Blench, Overseas Development Institute, 02
“The whole weather business is costly and depends on world-wide co-operation between National Meteorological Services. ... “
6) WEATHER BALLOONS, RADAR, AND SATELITTE INFORMATION NOT WORKING
Roger Blench, Overseas Development Institute, 02
“In spite of all the world-wide weather stations, weather buoys, observations from ships and aircraft, the use of weather balloons and radiosondes, doppler radar, and satellite information, some of the actual data needed or available for initializing any given computer run of a model either is missing or does not fit the model grid either in time or space”
7) A METEROLOGIST’S ACCURACY IS SLIM TO NONE
Roger Blench, Overseas Development Institute, 02
“We all know that weather forecasters are right only part of the time, and that they often give their predictions as percentages of possibilities.
Approximate Word count = 405
Approximate Pages = 1.6
(250 words per page double spaced)
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